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Friday, 23 October 2026

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Climate change could triple forest fire area in Europe

A study indicates that the area affected by forest fires in Europe could significantly increase by 2100.

Archive photo: Climate change could triple forest fire area in Europe
Archive photoPhoto: Christoph Scholz · Flickr · BY-SA

A recent study shows that the area affected by forest fires in Europe could significantly increase due to climate change by the year 2100. Depending on the extent of global warming, the affected area is estimated to rise by up to 192 percent. According to the study, factors such as land use, prevention, and early detection are crucial for the development of forest fires alongside global warming.

The study emphasizes that increasing dryness, rising temperatures, and intensified winds are likely to contribute to the expansion of vegetation fires. These climatic changes could increase the frequency and intensity of forest fires in many European countries, further exacerbating existing issues in affected regions.

Additionally, the reports note that some countries in Europe are already suffering from extreme forest fires, partly due to prevailing climatic conditions. The authors of the study stress that the extent of the increase can also be influenced by targeted measures for the prevention and early detection of fires.

Archive photo: Climate change could triple forest fire area in Europe
Archive photoPhoto: ZDF/Terra X/Gruppe 5/Luise Wagner, Jonas Sichert, Andreas Hougardy · Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0

According to the study, an estimate of up to 39 percent increase in the area affected by forest fires could be regarded as a lower limit, with the aforementioned maximum values varying according to climate scenarios. This suggests a wide range of possible future developments that could differ depending on the measures taken.

Officials inform that the research findings require extensive scientific and public discussion to develop effective strategies to combat the risk of forest fires. Both climatic and social and economic aspects must be taken into account in this process.

Scientists have thus highlighted the need for an interdisciplinary approach to better understand the connections between climate change and forest fire risks. Such insights could be crucial for the future planning and implementation of protective measures in Europe.