Quaest poll shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro tied in the second round

The Quaest poll, released on Monday, September 7, reveals that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the voting intentions for the first round of the presidential election with 36% of the votes, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro, who registers 29%. Other candidates include Augusto Cury with 8%, Renan Santos with 3%, Ronaldo Caiado also with 3%, and Romeu Zema with 2%. The results show a slight decline in Lula's voting intentions, which were at 37% in the previous survey conducted on September 2, while Flávio Bolsonaro maintained the same percentage as that date.

In the second round scenario, both candidates, Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), are tied numerically, each with 41% of voting intentions, according to the same survey. This is the first time since March that the two are in a technical tie in this simulation, as Lula had a 1 percentage point advantage in the previous survey, which indicated 42% for Lula and 41% for Flávio.

The poll also highlighted data on candidate rejection rates. Flávio Bolsonaro is noted as the candidate with the highest rejection rate, with 55% of respondents stating they would never vote for him. Lula closely follows with a rejection rate of 53%. These percentages have remained stable compared to the previous survey conducted earlier in September.

The Quaest poll was commissioned by Globo and interviewed 2,004 voters between September 3 and 5. The data was collected amid a tense political climate, just before Brazil's Independence Day holiday, and less than a month before the election date set for October 4. The information on voting intentions was collected in a prompted manner, presenting the candidates' names to the interviewees.

In addition to the disclosed numbers, the poll also showed that in the spontaneous poll, Lula leads with 28% of intentions, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro with 20% and Augusto Cury with 4%. This difference in voting intentions in the spontaneous modality highlights the local popularity of the candidates and the coverage of their campaigns.

However, both Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro face a challenge ahead: managing their respective rejection rates as the first round approaches. These data underline the complexity of the electoral landscape in Brazil and the dynamics that may unfold in the coming weeks.