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Thursday, 22 October 2026

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Quaest survey results reveal first-round contests in several states

Recent surveys show the electoral landscapes in various Brazilian states, highlighting the leading candidates in valid vote intentions for multiple positions.

Quaest survey results reveal first-round contests in several states
Photo: Senado Federal · Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 2.0

The Quaest survey, released on Saturday (3), just two days before the first round of elections, presents updated data on valid vote intentions across various races in Brazil. In Pará, Helder leads with 28% of the votes, followed by Delegado Éder Mauro with 24%, Chicão with 20%, and Zequinha Marinho with 17% in the Senate race.

In Amapá, Dr. Furlan is leading the gubernatorial race with 53% of valid votes, while Clécio Luís follows with 47%. Meanwhile, the Senate race in the same state shows Eduardo Braga in the lead with 36%, followed by Capitão Alberto Neto with 25% and Plínio Valério with 22%.

In Minas Gerais, Cleitinho Azevedo is the strongest candidate with 54% of the intentions, while Patrus Ananias and Alexandre Kalil appear with 23% and 10%, respectively. The Senate race is also competitive, with Sávio at 22%, Viana at 18%, Marília at 18%, and Aécio at 17%.

Quaest survey results reveal first-round contests in several states
Photo: Senado Federal · Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 2.0

In the Federal District, Celina Leão has 53% of valid votes for the government, ahead of Leandro Grass with 32% and Paula Belmonte with 10%. The Senate contest shows Michelle Bolsonaro in first with 31%, followed by Leila do Vôlei with 27% and Bia Kicis with 24%.

In São Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas leads with 60% of the votes for governor, while Fernando Haddad has 36%. In the Senate, Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, Marina Silva, and Simone Tebet are in a technical tie, with Derrite at 25%.

The surveys reveal not only leadership in vote intentions but also a competitive landscape where it is crucial to consider the margin of error, as many candidates are technically tied.