Skip to content

tagblick

Tuesday, 20 October 2026

Search

World

Polls show Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula in Brazil

Recent surveys indicate Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Lula by two points in the electoral runoff.

Archive photo: Polls show Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula in Brazil
Archive photoPhoto: Wilfredor · Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 3.0

Elections in Brazil are approaching their second round, scheduled for October 25. In the latest poll conducted by the consultancy Quaest, Flávio Bolsonaro has a 46 percent voter intention, while Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva would receive 44 percent, giving the liberal candidate a two-point advantage according to data released on Wednesday.

Additionally, a Datafolha poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula with 51 percent to 49 percent, although this difference indicates a technical tie just ten days before the election. Other surveys from La Nación and El Universal report similar figures, with Bolsonaro at 47 percent and Lula at 45 percent, reinforcing the narrow margin between the candidates.

This electoral landscape has prompted several former presidents from Latin America and Spain to express their support for Bolsonaro, also calling for transparency during the electoral process. In total, eleven ex-leaders signed a declaration backing the Liberal Party candidate, emphasizing the importance of democratic principles and calling for assurance of transparency in the voting.

Archive photo: Polls show Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula in Brazil
Archive photoPhoto: Fábio Pozzebom/ABr · Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 3.0 br

Eduardo Bolsonaro, Flávio's brother, predicted a 'golden age for Latin America' if his brother wins the presidency, suggesting that the region will experience an economic boom. This statement was made in the context of a shift towards more conservative leaderships in the region, promoted by close ties with political figures like Donald Trump.

In media circles, Flávio Bolsonaro is scheduled for an interview on Globo TV, where he will present himself to the audience as part of his campaign in the days leading up to the election. The media are closely covering these events, noting that such public appearances are crucial in this final phase of the electoral process.

With the electoral race so tight, projections on how the outcome might influence financial relations with Argentina, particularly regarding investments linked to Brazil, continue to generate interest in the region.