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Thursday, 22 October 2026

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UN report warns of 2.8-degree warming by end of the century

According to a UN report, the Earth could warm by up to 2.8 degrees compared to pre-industrial times by the end of the century.

Archive photo: UN report warns of 2.8-degree warming by end of the century
Archive photoPhoto: Ed Hawkins, climate scientist at University of Reading · Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0

The United Nations has stated in a recent report that the Earth is on track to warm by up to 2.8 degrees compared to pre-industrial times by the end of the century. This forecast was made as part of an analysis of global climate policy, which is deemed insufficient to meet climate goals.

The report highlights that even a fraction of a degree above the originally targeted goal of 1.5 degrees increases the risk of extreme weather events. These events include deadly floods, heatwaves, and wildfires, which have already occurred in many countries this year.

Inger Andersen, the executive director of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), stated that the international community is perilously far from the established climate goals. This assessment was reaffirmed during the report's presentation by UN Secretary-General António Guterres.

Archive photo: UN report warns of 2.8-degree warming by end of the century
Archive photoPhoto: Christoph Scholz · Flickr · BY-SA

A key point of the report is the observed decline in progress on climate protection. The reasons for this deterioration include the lack of commitment from certain states, particularly the United States, which has withdrawn from climate action measures.

The data in the report underscores that the challenges in climate protection remain enormous. Despite some progress in global climate management, the measures taken are not sufficient to achieve the goals outlined in the Paris Agreement.

Analyses from the report suggest that without drastic measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the Earth could soon experience a temperature rise that would have significant and potentially catastrophic consequences for humanity and the environment.